Tonight is the big presidential debate, the most important presidential debate of my lifetime.
Who is the burden on with regard to this debate? Who needs the debate more? Right now, the answer is: Joe Biden needs this debate. He needs to win this debate. It is not enough for Biden to simply remain alive because if all of the prior questions going into this debate remain after the debate — questions about his health, his fitness, his policy — and if the focus is on him after this debate, Biden is going to lose.
Biden needs a radical change in the direction of this electoral cycle in order for him to win. Just a week ago, a lot of talk surfaced about Biden possibly regaining momentum, that the polls were tightening.
But now, we have a bevy of new polls, and they are showing that Donald Trump is actually pulling away.
This is a disaster for Joe Biden.
Trump now has the largest lead in the Real Clear Politics national average that he has had in three months — nearly two points. Not just that, but there are also a couple of national polls that are mirroring the same in one another. The New York Times is so freaked out about this — because they’re one of the polls — that they are trying to determine whether they are an outlier poll or not. There are certain polls in every cycle that are a little bit different than all the other polls, and sometimes the outliers are right.
But it’s not really an outlier when within the same couple of days that you release your poll, there’s another poll from Quinnipiac that mirrors your poll. Quinnipiac has been a very pro-Biden poll throughout this entire electoral process and has shown him tied or leading virtually the entire cycle. But according to Quinnipiac now, Trump is at 49. If you’re looking at registered voters, including leaners, Biden is at just 45. Trump currently has a 10-point advantage with independents.
That means Biden is going to lose.
WATCH: The Ben Shapiro Show
It turns out that about 73% of respondents in the Quinnipiac poll say they’re going to watch the debate tonight, which means Biden particularly needs a strong showing because a Times/Siena poll shows he is also down four points, 48-44. That is the biggest lead Trump has had in the Times/Siena poll among likely voters in months. Trump’s lead with registered voters is six percentage points.
These are truly terrible numbers for Biden. Swing states are even worse for him. According to a report from the Washington Post, more than half of voters in 6 swing states that Biden narrowly won in 2020 say that “threats to democracy are extremely important to their vote for president.”
But Biden’s problem is that more of those voters actually believe Trump handled threats to democracy better than Biden. So in other words, the entire Biden message that Trump is a threat to democracy, January 6, election denialism, is totally falling flat. It turns out that when people look at Biden and his executive actions, which are, in fact, tyrannical; his rants about how he’s going to end around the Supreme Court; or his use of executive agencies to do things like “relieve student loan debt”; or his attempts to cram down vaccine mandates on 80 million Americans, they don’t think Biden is standing for democracy.
Yesterday, the Washington Post published an article stating, “The results offer troubling indicators for Biden, who needs voters who may be unenthusiastic about his candidacy to decide they must reject Trump to preserve America’s system of representative government. ‘Many Americans don’t recognize Biden’s custodianship of our democracy, which is a bad sign for his campaign,’ said Justin Gest, a professor of policy and government at George Mason University.”
Among all key state voters, 44% said they believe Trump would do a better job handling threats to democracy than Biden. Only 33% of voters said Biden would do a better job handling threats to democracy than Trump.
If those poll numbers are remotely accurate, Biden is toast, unless he has a magnificent performance tonight in the debate. Saying Trump is a threat to democracy is not just the tip of the spear of Biden’s entire argument; it’s the whole spear. There’s nothing else. He can’t run on the economy. People don’t like the economy. He can’t run on his foreign policy. His foreign policy is a burning dumpster fire of trash and excrement. He can’t run on the border. He can’t run on social policy.
What exactly is he going to run on? His entire campaign was predicated on his speech at Independence Hall, with blood-red in the background, where he declared himself the man standing in the breach on behalf of democracy.
If more Americans in the swing states believe Biden is the threat to democracy, not Trump, Biden is finished.
[#item_full_content]
[[{“value”:”
Tonight is the big presidential debate, the most important presidential debate of my lifetime.
Who is the burden on with regard to this debate? Who needs the debate more? Right now, the answer is: Joe Biden needs this debate. He needs to win this debate. It is not enough for Biden to simply remain alive because if all of the prior questions going into this debate remain after the debate — questions about his health, his fitness, his policy — and if the focus is on him after this debate, Biden is going to lose.
Biden needs a radical change in the direction of this electoral cycle in order for him to win. Just a week ago, a lot of talk surfaced about Biden possibly regaining momentum, that the polls were tightening.
But now, we have a bevy of new polls, and they are showing that Donald Trump is actually pulling away.
This is a disaster for Joe Biden.
Trump now has the largest lead in the Real Clear Politics national average that he has had in three months — nearly two points. Not just that, but there are also a couple of national polls that are mirroring the same in one another. The New York Times is so freaked out about this — because they’re one of the polls — that they are trying to determine whether they are an outlier poll or not. There are certain polls in every cycle that are a little bit different than all the other polls, and sometimes the outliers are right.
But it’s not really an outlier when within the same couple of days that you release your poll, there’s another poll from Quinnipiac that mirrors your poll. Quinnipiac has been a very pro-Biden poll throughout this entire electoral process and has shown him tied or leading virtually the entire cycle. But according to Quinnipiac now, Trump is at 49. If you’re looking at registered voters, including leaners, Biden is at just 45. Trump currently has a 10-point advantage with independents.
That means Biden is going to lose.
WATCH: The Ben Shapiro Show
It turns out that about 73% of respondents in the Quinnipiac poll say they’re going to watch the debate tonight, which means Biden particularly needs a strong showing because a Times/Siena poll shows he is also down four points, 48-44. That is the biggest lead Trump has had in the Times/Siena poll among likely voters in months. Trump’s lead with registered voters is six percentage points.
These are truly terrible numbers for Biden. Swing states are even worse for him. According to a report from the Washington Post, more than half of voters in 6 swing states that Biden narrowly won in 2020 say that “threats to democracy are extremely important to their vote for president.”
But Biden’s problem is that more of those voters actually believe Trump handled threats to democracy better than Biden. So in other words, the entire Biden message that Trump is a threat to democracy, January 6, election denialism, is totally falling flat. It turns out that when people look at Biden and his executive actions, which are, in fact, tyrannical; his rants about how he’s going to end around the Supreme Court; or his use of executive agencies to do things like “relieve student loan debt”; or his attempts to cram down vaccine mandates on 80 million Americans, they don’t think Biden is standing for democracy.
Yesterday, the Washington Post published an article stating, “The results offer troubling indicators for Biden, who needs voters who may be unenthusiastic about his candidacy to decide they must reject Trump to preserve America’s system of representative government. ‘Many Americans don’t recognize Biden’s custodianship of our democracy, which is a bad sign for his campaign,’ said Justin Gest, a professor of policy and government at George Mason University.”
Among all key state voters, 44% said they believe Trump would do a better job handling threats to democracy than Biden. Only 33% of voters said Biden would do a better job handling threats to democracy than Trump.
If those poll numbers are remotely accurate, Biden is toast, unless he has a magnificent performance tonight in the debate. Saying Trump is a threat to democracy is not just the tip of the spear of Biden’s entire argument; it’s the whole spear. There’s nothing else. He can’t run on the economy. People don’t like the economy. He can’t run on his foreign policy. His foreign policy is a burning dumpster fire of trash and excrement. He can’t run on the border. He can’t run on social policy.
What exactly is he going to run on? His entire campaign was predicated on his speech at Independence Hall, with blood-red in the background, where he declared himself the man standing in the breach on behalf of democracy.
If more Americans in the swing states believe Biden is the threat to democracy, not Trump, Biden is finished.
“}]]
